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The end of the big parties? |
The end of the big parties? Will the current situation be the end of UK politics as we have known it for over 100 years? Rishi Sunak was ousted as prime minister for failing to follow up on any of his, or rather their, promises in July 2024. In particular the promise of reducing migration and the flow of illegal immigrants arriving at dover in rubber boats broke his neck. The labour party made no gains. In fact their share of the national vote went down showing that it was the Tory losses the caused the gigantic swing. The Labour Party under the leadership of ex-lawyer Keir Starmer kid themselves they won but it is the opposite. Will the Tories come back like phoenix? Probably not. In fact our analysis of the situation points to a possible total demise of the party, particularly if Reform and the Lib Dems make new and significant gains. So let's assume that in five years time, if it takes that long, the voters will have realised that the shallow promises of the Labour Party have amounted to nothing but thin air. That their promise to reduce illegal immigration for example has been solved by making more people legally welcome. Also assuming of course that the electorate actually realise what is happening it would appear likely that Starmer and Co will suffer the same fate as their predecessors. What then? Our guess ist that we end up with an Italian situation. Multiple smaller parties jostling for coalition places. This is a real threat also if Farage and the Lib Dems manage to push through a proportional representation system. An Italian situation would mean changing alliances, constant shifts in governmental policy and worst of all - getting nothing done. -pw- London François-Marie Arouet - Known as M. de Voltaire |
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